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課程簡介 Course Introduction
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開課年度學期 Year / Term
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114 學年度 第 2 學期
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開課班級 Department
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行政管理學系碩士班 行管碩一二合
Master Program , Department of Public Administration and Management
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授課方式 Instructional Method
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課堂教學 、 中文
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課程電腦代號 Course Reference Number
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132006
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課程名稱(中文) Course Title(Chinese)
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決策與判斷分析專題
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課程名稱(英文) Course Title(English)
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Seminar on Decision and Judgement Analysis
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學分數/時數 Credit Hours
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3 /
3
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必(選)修 Required / Elective Course
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選修 Elective
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授課老師 Instructor
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馬群傑
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助教 Teaching Assistant
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上課時間 Meeting Time
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星期三，節次3
Wed, Period 3、4、5
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上課教室 Classroom
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J508
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Office Hours
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馬群傑：2233/AB67
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| 獲獎及補助情形 Awards and Grants |
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| 聯合國永續發展目標 (SDGs跨域類別) Sustainable Development Goals, SDGs |
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SDGs 04.
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優質教育：確保有教無類、公平以及高品質的教育，及提倡終身學習
Quality Education：Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all
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SDGs 11.
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永續城鄉：建構具包容、安全、韌性及永續特質的城市與鄉村
Sustainable Cities and Communities：Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable
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SDGs 17.
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多元夥伴關係：建立多元夥伴關係，協力促進永續願景
Partnerships for the Goals：Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development
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課程目標 Learning Objectives
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Facing the development trend of globalization, public managers are faced with more diverse and complex emergency decision-making and response issues. In view of the major impacts and losses that various emergencies may bring about in life, economy, politics, and society, public managers have different response models for related events, and different response models are adopted based on different response models. Crisis response actions will also have different consequences. In view of the fact that only by exerting good decision-making analysis and judgment ability in emergency response, public managers can lead to relatively better decision-making response results. Based on this, the planning of this course is focused on assisting students to conduct practical research on public decision-making and judgment analysis based on case analysis based on the various public affairs disciplines and citizen participation theories they have studied in the past. It will also be targeted at public managers. An examination of cognitive leadership decisions in crisis situations. Through the establishment of this course, students will be helped to clearly master the leadership decision-making and crisis decision-making tools of public managers. Through this, they will develop the situational control skills of crisis leadership to clarify the blind spots of public decision-making and judgment, thereby promoting better emergency response and Generation of emergency decision-making capabilities.
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先修 ( 前置 ) 課程 Prerequisite
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Research methods
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| 彈性教學規劃 Flexible Teaching/Planning Schedules |
| ＊本課程實施16+2週彈性教學方案，其中第17、18週之彈性規劃如下： |
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線上教學/討論
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校內外演講或講座
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自主學習
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課程大綱 Course Syllabus
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| 週次 Week |
課程單元大綱 Unit |
教學方式 Instructional Method/Style/Teaching Style |
參考資料或相關作業 References or Related Materials |
評量方式 Grading |
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單一課程對應校能力指標程度 The Degree to Which Single Course Corresponds to School Competence
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| 編號 No. |
校核心能力 School Core Competencies |
符合程度 Degree of conformity |
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1
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公民力 (Citizen)
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3
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2
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自學力 (Self-learning)
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5
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3
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資訊力 (Information)
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4
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4
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創造力 (Creativity)
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4
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5
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溝通力 (Communication)
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5
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6
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就業力(Employability)
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4
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單一課程對應系能力指標程度 The Degree to Which Single Course Corresponds to Department Competence
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| 編號 No. |
類別 Category |
系核心能力 Department Core Competencies |
符合程度 Degree of conformity |
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01
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系所
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具備獨立研究與學術發表能力
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5
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02
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系所
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具備行政與管理專業知識能力
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5
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03
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系所
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具備行政規劃與決策管理能力
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4
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04
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系所
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具備行政溝通、協調與行銷能力
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4
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05
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系所
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具備實務問題判斷、分析與解決能力
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5
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單一課程對應院能力指標程度 The Degree to Which Single Course Corresponds to College Competence
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| 編號 No. |
院核心能力 College Core Competencies |
符合程度 Degree of conformity |
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1
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溝通表達能力
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4
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2
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分析辨證能力
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5
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3
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創新思維能力
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4
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4
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全球意識能力
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4
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5
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問題解決能力
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5
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6
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專業知能
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5
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教科書或參考用書 Textbooks or Reference Books
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館藏書名 Library Books
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備註 Remarks
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Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein S. (1971). Comparison of Bayesian and Regression Approaches to the Study of Information Processing in Judgment. Organization Behavior and Human Performance, 6, 649-744.
Goldstein, W. M., & Hogarth, R. M. (1997). Judgment and decision research: some historical context. Research on judgment and decision making: Currents, connections, and controversies. Cambridge Uni. Press.(Chapter 1)
Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1974), Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Science, 185, 1124-1131.
Hastie, R. & Dawes R. M. (2001), Rational choice in an uncertain world: The psychology of judgment and decision making. (Chapter 13)
von Winterfeldt D. & Edwards W. (1986). Decision analysis and behavioral research. Cambridge, New York. (Chapter 7)
Edwards, Ward (1994), SMARTS and SMATERER: Improves Simple Methods to Multiattribute Utility Measurement, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 60, 306-325.
Brehmer, Berndt (1988), The Development of Social Judgment Theory, in B. Brehmer & C. R. B. Joyce (Eds.), Human Judgment: The SJT View, New York: North-Holland.
Cooksey, Ray W. (1996), Judgment Analysis: Theory, Methods, and Applications, San Diego: Academic Press. (Chapter1)
Hammond, K. R., Hamm, R. M. Grassia, J., & Pearson, T. (1987), Direct Comparison of the Efficacy of Intuitive and Analytical Cognition in Expert Judgment, IEEE Transaction on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Vol. SMC-17, No.5, September / October, pp.753-770.
Brehmer, A. & Brehmer, B. (1996), What have We Learned about Human Judgment from Thirty Years of Policy Capturing?, in B. Brehmer & C. R. B. Joyce(Eds.), Human Judgment: The SJT View, New York: North-Holland.
Anderson, N. H. (1996), Cognitive Algebra, in A Functional Theory of Cognition, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
Wang, M. S. and J. S. Yang (1998), "A Multi-criteria Experimental Comparison of three Multiple Attributes Weight Measurement Methods" Journal of Multiple-Criteria Decision Analysis, 7, 340-350, Wiley.
Anderson, N. H. (1991), Contributions to Information Integration Theory Volume I: Cognition, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.(Ch. 1)
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※請尊重智慧財產權，不得非法影印教科書※
※ Please respect intellectual property rights and do not illegally photocopy textbooks. ※
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教學方法 Teaching Method
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教學方法 Teaching Method
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百分比 Percentage
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問題導向學習
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50 %
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個案研討
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50 %
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| 總和 Total |
100 % |
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成績評量方式 Grading
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| 評量方式 Grading |
百分比 Percentage |
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課堂參與
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40 %
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小組口頭報告
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30 %
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個人書面報告
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30 %
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| 總和 Total |
100 % |
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課程大綱補充資料 Supplementary Material of Course Syllabus
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